Great Stagnation Briefing 1: The Never-Ending Credit Crunch
24 July 2026
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Lifestyle Economics
18 June 2026

Uncategorized
20 January 2026
https://iea.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/Goodspeed-The-Never-Ending-Credit-Crunch.pdf
Summary
- The UK is now around 40% poorer per person than the US, having
been on course for near economic parity as recently as 2007. If it
were a US state, the UK would be the poorest in the union, ranked
below Mississippi. - Britain has not always been outpaced by the US. Between 1955
and 2008, the UK experienced an annual trend rate of real growth
per person of 2.3%, slightly faster than the US at 2.1%. - After the Global Financial Crisis, the US suffered a drop in the level
of economic activity but then essentially returned to trend growth.
In contrast, the UK experienced both a sharp drop in the level of
economic activity and a decline in the subsequent rate of
economic growth. - Austerity cannot explain the UK’s underperformance: the US
pursued a similar policy over the same period. - The real cause was post-2009 banking regulation, which required
banks to substitute perceived low-risk lending to governments for
lending to business. - The effects of regulation fell disproportionately on the UK’s bankdependent economy, and undermined lending to small and
medium-sized businesses, inhibiting their ability to grow. The US
was less affected due to its greater reliance on non-bank credit
and the abundance of small banks subject to fewer regulatory
requirements. - Whereas US lending to non-financial businesses recovered by
mid-2013, in the UK bank lending remains 15% below its early
2008 level.



