Monetary Policy

Falling UK inflation suggests the worst is behind us

Len Shackleton quoted in the Yorkshire Times

IEA Editorial and Research Fellow Len Shackleton has been quoted in the Yorkshire Times in their piece covering the recent slowdown in the rate of inflation

The Yorkshire Times quoted:

“If last month’s 8.7 per cent annual increase in the CPI was unexpectedly high, this month’s 7.9 per cent is a shade lower than expected. This is mirrored in other indicators such as CPIH and core CPI.

“Since these figures were tallied, Russia has ended a deal to allow grain exports from Ukraine, which will likely push up global and UK food prices. Mortgage rates have also gone up. Nevertheless, since the extraordinary increases in the money supply that ultimately fuel inflation have ended, inflation is set to fall further.

“Rishi Sunak’s pledge to halve inflation by the end of the year may still be optimistic, but at least there are no grounds for the Bank of England to raise interest rates further. Nor are there any grounds for panic measures to hold down prices artificially, such as Grant Shapps’ silly initiative to curb supermarket petrol prices.”

You can read the full article here.