Falling house prices may not be the ‘harbinger of economic doom’
14 October 2022
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Energy and Environment
Andy Mayer writes for CapX
14 October 2022

In the Media
Matthew Lesh featured in The Express
17 October 2022

Uncategorized
20 January 2026
Matthew Lesh writes in The Spectator
IEA Head of Public Policy Matthew Lesh has written in The Spectator arguing that declining house prices may not be such a bad thing.
Matthew wrote:
“Many will treat lower house prices as a tragedy. (…) But let’s look at this with some perspective. Oxford Economics is forecasting house price falls of around 13 per cent across next year and the year after, taking the price of average properties to levels not seen since… March last year.”
Matthew did point out, however, that lower prices will not necessarily mean increased affordability:
“A drop in property prices driven by higher interest rates do not make houses more affordable. And just because buyers are paying less to purchase a home, does not equate to increased availability of housing.”
The full article can be read here.
Matthew wrote:
“Many will treat lower house prices as a tragedy. (…) But let’s look at this with some perspective. Oxford Economics is forecasting house price falls of around 13 per cent across next year and the year after, taking the price of average properties to levels not seen since… March last year.”
Matthew did point out, however, that lower prices will not necessarily mean increased affordability:
“A drop in property prices driven by higher interest rates do not make houses more affordable. And just because buyers are paying less to purchase a home, does not equate to increased availability of housing.”
The full article can be read here.



