In the light of recent debate, I first review the research regarding the voucher reform, showing that all studies find at least some positive effects on educational achievement – no studies of which I am aware detect any negative effects. While some find stronger effects than others, even smaller positive effects are conspicuous considering the context. The voucher programme was implemented during an economic crisis, leading to cuts in school funding during the 1990s. Meanwhile, unemployment and residential segregation increased. Combined with other negative changes (see the paper), the evidence seems clear. Voucher reform may not be a panacea, but, at the very least, it can increase educational achievement on the margin despite economic/social instability – which is highly relevant in the current UK context.
Although still a subject of debate, the most recent comprehensive studies show that Swedish school segregation is almost entirely linked to residential segregation, suggesting that the reform programme made little difference to this measure. Furthermore, free schools enjoy higher satisfaction levels among parents and teachers, while research shows that competition brought higher salaries to the latter. Overall, therefore, Sweden’s free schools reforms have been successful.
Secondly, I provide quantitative evidence indicating that for-profit schools do not conform to doomsday predictions. Both non-profit and for-profit schools outperform municipal ones even when utilising a wide range of relevant control variables. Furthermore, the for-profit effect is particularly strong among schools with low average parental education levels – while also being significantly positive in higher-level categories – suggesting that for-profit schools especially benefit students from lower socio-economic backgrounds. The evidence, therefore, indicates that fears of a reduction in quality due to the profit motive are unfounded.
Finally, about 65% of Swedish free schools are for-profit and there is a reason why: the profit motive provides strong incentives for entrepreneurs to start schools and expand – while non-profit structures appear to have stultifying effects. Whereas Swedish for-profit schools expand, non-profit schools remain small, local operations. Banning for-profit schools does not generate more non-profits filling the void; it just leads to fewer free schools, thus lowering competition and quality.
The Lib-Con coalition is correct in pursuing the free schools reforms, but it should revoke the ban on for-profit schools since these actually perform better than municipal schools. Furthermore, the profit motive played a key role in increasing Swedish school competition – without it, the UK’s reform may fail. As the number of schools opening next year already has been revised down dramatically, this may soon become painfully obvious. Michael Gove once claimed that he saw the “future” in the Swedish voucher reform. Ironically, he missed an integral component in making that future successful.
Gabriel H. Sahlgren is the author of Schooling for Money: Swedish Education Reform and the Role of the Profit Motive.